Medians and likely ranges; medium-confidence processes · cm
Local sea level can differ. These ranges do not include every low-likelihood ice-sheet outcome.
Explore this view in the observatory →← Climate observatory
Published evidence / Open chart
Sea level keeps rising.
Global mean sea-level rise
The values behind the chart
| Series | Published value |
|---|---|
| SSP1-2.6 | 44 (32–62) cm |
| SSP2-4.5 · selected | 56 (44–76) cm |
| SSP3-7.0 | 68 (55–90) cm |
Method and original sources
Final IPCC AR6 WGI Table 9.9. Values in metres are expressed as centimetres without additional modelling.
IPCC AR6 · sea level · 2021 ↗
Final Table 9.9, medium-confidence processes. Global mean sea-level rise relative to 1995–2014; medians and likely ranges. Local land movement, ocean circulation and low-likelihood ice-sheet outcomes are not represented.
Evidence reviewed 2026-10-11. Source publication dates are shown separately. This chart republishes selected findings; it does not calculate a local climate forecast.
Cite PeakWave and the original sources. Consult the original sources for their reuse terms. Downloaded CSV and SVG files retain the selected view and its provenance.