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Troncones is a consistent left-hand point break on Mexico's Pacific coast in Guerrero state, producing long, workable walls over a mix of volcanic rock and compacted sand. The wave peels around a headland with the Sierra Madre del Sur mountains providing a dramatic backdrop. The village has retained its fishing community character despite growing surf tourism, offering an authentic Mexican coastal experience with warm water and reliable surf.
Southerly Pacific groundswells from May through October deliver the most consistent waves. The wave works on 3-6ft of south to south-west swell. Easterly offshore winds blow from the mountains, most reliable at dawn. The dry season (November-April) has smaller but occasional rideable swells from north-west storm systems.
The point take-off sits at the headland where the swell wraps and steepens. The left peels for 100-150 metres along the rock and sand bottom. Position at the top of the point for the longest rides. The inside section is sandier and more forgiving.
The rock and sand bottom is uneven. Currents develop on bigger swells. The main hazards are moderate: the wave does not typically produce the heavy, critical conditions of heavier Mexican breaks. Stingrays in the sandy patches.
Informal parking along the village roads. The beach is immediately accessible. Accommodation ranges from palapa huts to boutique hotels. The village is a 30-minute drive from Ixtapa-Zihuatanejo which has airport connections.
Troncones sees 10-20 surfers on good days. The vibe is relaxed and friendly. The mix of Mexican locals and international visitors creates a welcoming atmosphere. Weekday mornings are peaceful.
The wave rewards a board with some length and speed: a fish, mid-length, or longboard over a standard shortboard. The faces are mellow enough to enjoy relaxed surfing without needing aggressive equipment. The fresh seafood restaurants in the village serve excellent ceviche and grilled fish. The summer monsoon season brings both the best surf and the most rain; pack accordingly. Warm water (26-29C) year-round means board shorts suffice.
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Based on historical weekly averages
Combining historical conditions with school holiday crowd pressure to find the sweet spot.
How busy each week is based on school holiday overlap from feeder markets.
The timing score combines two signals: historical conditions quality (how good the skiing or surfing typically is in a given week, based on 5 years of weather data) and crowd pressure (how many of this destination's feeder markets have school holidays that week).
Crowd pressure is weighted by each feeder country's share of visitors. If 40% of a resort's visitors come from France and France is on holiday, that contributes 0.40 to the crowd pressure score. Crowds can reduce the timing score by up to 35%, ensuring conditions still matter most.
Scores: 5 = great conditions with low crowds (the sweet spot). 4 = great conditions with moderate crowds, or good conditions with low crowds. 3 = average. 2 = below average conditions or very crowded. 1 = poor conditions or peak holiday chaos.
Last 29 days of logged conditions.
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Create Profile →Current conditions refresh every 3 hours when the cron runs. Hourly data updates every 30 minutes. The 7-day forecast, luck factor, and packing notes are all pre-computed at the same time.
We compare the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Troncones. The delta tells you whether conditions are shaping up better, worse, or about the same as a typical mid-June.
We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.
Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).
Honestly, no. Every break has tide windows, swell directions and reef contours that a global model cannot see. Treat the score as a starting point, then check a local cam.
The best week for surf at Troncones is the week of 30 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.
Quality groundswell hitting the coast. Reasonable period putting some grunt behind each wave. Light onshore crumble taking the edge off. Best conditions early morning before the sea breeze arrives.
Heads up: thunderstorms forecast, and jellyfish: peak season.
Indicators derived from forecast data, not official warnings. Always check local lifeguard or official advice.
Crystal clear water: ~20m visibility
Daily scores over the last 12 months at Troncones