Manorbier
United Kingdom · Atlantic Europe
Right now
OvercastWind and swell direction
Swell: 0.4m SSW
Wind: 16 km/h NNW (offshore)
Beach faces: S
Offshore wind (blowing from land to sea). Ideal conditions, holding up wave faces for cleaner surf.
Swell is arriving at a great angle for this beach.
Today hour by hour
Updated 08:33Expected crowds
Prediction model v16amDawn patrol territory
7amMidweek quiet
Next 7 days
Forecast via Open-MeteoWhat to pack
- 4/3mm wetsuit recommended for 13°C water.
- Small waves expected. Longboard or fish to make the most of it.
- Strong winds on some days. Check the forecast each morning.
Today's briefing
0.6m swell at 7s. Onshore wind creating some chop. Water temperature 13°C.
AI-generated summary for Manorbier. Always check local reports before heading out.
Forecast accuracy at Manorbier
Not enough data yet. Log a session to help build the accuracy score.
Best time to go
No great windows in the next 2 days
Best available option is Today around 10am (score: 9). Conditions are below the Good threshold but may still be surfable.
Nearby spots right now
Crowd report
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Session journal
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Create free accountTide
Approximate modelSwell forecast
7-day forecastDaily score breakdown
This week is looking slightly above average for late April.
Comparing the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Manorbier.
What's driving it
Recent form
Last 4 days of logged conditions.
About Manorbier
Manorbier is a highly picturesque, semi-sheltered beach and reef break situated beneath a medieval castle on the Pembrokeshire coast in Wales. The bathymetry is a complex mixture of shifting sand patches interspersed with prominent Old Red Sandstone rock shelves and reefs. This specific geography slightly filters incoming wave energy, requiring a robust south-westerly groundswell pushing up the Bristol Channel to generate rideable surf. A north-easterly offshore wind provides the optimal surface conditions, grooming the frequently choppy Atlantic swell. When the swell successfully navigates the headlands, it interacts with the rock shelves to produce steep, highly structured right-hand waves peeling into the bay, alongside punchy A-frames over the sand. Because the wave provides a defined drop followed by a workable face, it is highly suitable for intermediate surfers. The presence of submerged rocks and tidal sensitivity demands careful oceanic awareness, but the waves generally lack the heavy, plunging mechanics of severe coastal slabs.
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Create Profile →Frequently asked questions
How often is this page updated?
Current conditions refresh every 6 hours when the cron runs. Hourly data updates every 30 minutes. The 7-day forecast, luck factor, and packing notes are all pre-computed at the same time.
What is the luck factor?
We compare the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Manorbier. The delta tells you whether conditions are shaping up better, worse, or about the same as a typical late April.
How is 'best session' picked?
We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.
Where does the data come from?
Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).
Does the score capture local knowledge?
Honestly, no. Every break has tide windows, swell directions and reef contours that a global model cannot see. Treat the score as a starting point, then check a local cam.
When is the best time to surf Manorbier?
Check our timing score heatmap above for a week-by-week breakdown combining surf conditions with crowd pressure.