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Shambala Weather Forecast 2026
Kelmarsh, UK
27 Aug 2026 to 30 Aug 2026
49Typical late August, mixed but fine
Kelmarsh Hall parkland in Northamptonshire. Small site with decent drainage on historic estate ground. Late August bank holiday weather is the main variable.
Quality score
Why this score
The score combines these four event-window quality factors. Safety guidance and packing advice are shown separately.
- Quality factor
Rain and ground
31 mm event rain, 7.8 mm/day average, 14 mm peak day, 13 mm prior seven days
LimitingMain limiterFull confidenceEvent rain, antecedent saturation and the wettest day determine how quickly the ground deteriorates.
- Quality factor
Temperature
18°C mean, 14°C low, 21°C peak, 0 consecutive days over 35°C, 90% humidity
HelpingMinor effectFull confidenceDaytime comfort, overnight camping temperatures and cumulative heat shape the whole event experience.
- Quality factor
Atmosphere
Sunshine unavailable, 0 storm days of 4
NeutralMinor effectPartial confidenceSunshine changes outdoor comfort, while thunderstorms directly interrupt stages and force shelter.
- Quality factor
Wind
49 km/h peak gust
LimitingSecondary limiterFull confidencePeak gusts affect camping comfort and the ability of stages and temporary structures to operate.
How Shambala 2026 is tracking
Historical data
Comparison is building for this festival.
20-year distribution
BestWorst
Last 5 years
2026
🌧️
31mm
What actually happened
2026-08-27 to 2026-08-30Total rainfall
31 mm
Peak temp
21°C
Overnight low
14°C
Mean wind
22 km/h
Thunderstorm days
0
Days over 35°C
0
Nights under 5°C
0
The marketplace
54 candidates looking for work at Shambala
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54 candidates
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Adrianna Bujok
Event Manager / Coordinator, Stage Hand / Crew · 10 Jun – 14 Jul
MW
Maisy Wood
Event Manager / Coordinator, Stage Hand / Crew · 1 May – 30 Sept
Sidloschi Stefana
Event Manager / Coordinator, Stage Hand / Crew · 1 May – 30 Sept
Andrew Newitt
Ski Instructor, Snowboard Instructor · 1 May – 30 Dec
Jobs
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Tuned to the forecast- Wellies you don't mind writing off
- Dry bag for your phone
- Spare socks, more than you think
- Reusable water bottle
- Portable charger
Frequently asked questions
How often is this page updated?
Current conditions refresh daily at 07:00 UTC from our cron. Forecasts cache for 6 hours; climate averages for 24 hours; the 20-year historical distribution refreshes weekly.
What does the conditions score mean for Shambala?
A single 0-100 rating of how Shambala's event window is shaping up. Rain or dust and ground, temperature, atmosphere and wind contribute as four equal factor groups. Their multipliers are multiplied into one event-window quality score. The festival's primary risk selects the first group's rain-and-ground or dust-and-ground interpretation and shapes the label and historical comparison. It does not give any group extra weight.
Where does the weather data come from?
Open-Meteo, an open weather API that blends multiple national weather services plus ERA5 archive data going back to 2006. The same data powers many outdoor apps.
Does the historical comparison mean the festival ran every year?
No. The 20-year comparison uses weather records for this location and event window regardless of whether the festival itself ran that year. That gives us a consistent 20-year sample even for festivals that started more recently.
What should I pack for Shambala 2026?
See the "Pack for it" section above. The list is generated from the current forecast, tuned to the temperatures, rain probability, and primary risk you will actually face.