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Steamer Lane surf beneath the Santa Cruz Surfing Museum lighthouse
Conditions forecast

Santa Cruz

United States · Part of Santa Cruz County

Updated recently

As of 17:00 GMT-7 on 16 October 2026, Santa Cruz scores 43/100 (Fair) for surf on PeakWave.

Wind
Surf · Today’s score · Fair
43/100

Wave energy: limiting. Wave alignment: ideal.

No sea temperature here today, so the cold-water check is left out.

Swell
0.8 m
9 s · W
Wind
17 km/h
Cross-onshore
Tide
Rising
Modelled timing
Water
Unavailable

Don't bother today: 43.

Better nearby

Nothing else in Santa Cruz County beats Santa Cruz by a clear margin today.

See every Santa Cruz County surf spot today
⚠ Rocks exposed at low tide
  • Some safety checks are unavailable. Check local advice before setting out.
Main limiter
Wave energy
Strongest positive
Wave alignment

PeakWave scores are planning signals, not safety clearance. Check local authorities, official bulletins and on-site conditions before you go. Read our editorial policy.

What matters for this session

Read the swell size, period and direction together with the wind at the beach. The tide chart below adds timing context for this break.

Today's forecast

Local time 7:31pm

Session recommendations are unavailable while safety or forecast evidence is incomplete or a red flag is active.

12am
☀️
Dark
1am
☀️
Dark
2am
🌤️
Dark
3am
☀️
Dark
4am
☀️
Dark
5am
☀️
Dark
6am
☀️
Dark
7am
☀️
Dark
8am
☀️
36
Fair
0.7m · 9s
← 7 km/h
Water unavailable
9am
☀️
41
Fair
0.7m · 9s
← 7 km/h
Water unavailable
10am
☀️
45
Fair
0.7m · 9s
← 8 km/h
Water unavailable
11am
☀️
45
Fair
0.7m · 10s
← 15 km/h
Water unavailable
12pm
☀️
45
Fair
0.7m · 10s
↖ 14 km/h
Water unavailable
1pm
☀️
38
Fair
0.7m · 10s
↖ 15 km/h
Water unavailable
2pm
☀️
43
Fair
0.7m · 10s
↗ 17 km/h
Water unavailable
3pm
☀️
64
Good
0.7m · 11s
→ 4 km/h
Water unavailable
4pm
☀️
52
Good
0.6m · 11s
→ 9 km/h
Water unavailable
5pm
☀️
58
Good
0.6m · 12s
↗ 6 km/h
Water unavailable
6pm
☀️
57
Good
0.6m · 12s
↗ 7 km/h
Water unavailable
7pm
☀️
Dark
8pm
☀️
Dark
9pm
☀️
Dark
10pm
☀️
Dark
11pm
☀️
Dark

Tide

Modelled tide

Heights relative to mean sea level

Best on mid tide

5am8pm
High 07:11+0.1 m
Low 15:25-0.1 m
8:00amsunrise7:00pmsunset

Next 7 days

Forecast via Open-Meteo
Today
16 Oct
🌤️
43/100
0.8 m swell · 9 s
Wind 17 km/h
empty
Friday
Tomorrow
17 Oct
☀️
68/100
1.0 m swell · 10 s
Wind 20 km/h
quiet
Saturday
Best conditions
Sun
18 Oct
☀️
57/100
1.5 m swell · 8 s
Wind 13 km/h
quiet
Sunday
Mon
19 Oct
☁️
51/100
1.6 m swell · 8 s
Wind 18 km/h
empty
Midweek
Tue
20 Oct
🌧️
65/100
2.1 m swell · 10 s
Wind 10 km/h
empty
Midweek
Caution
Wed
21 Oct
☁️
55/100
1.9 m swell · 9 s
Wind 12 km/h
empty
Midweek
Thu
22 Oct
☁️
29/100
1.3 m swell · 6 s
Wind 25 km/h
empty
Midweek

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Each location is refreshed every three hours. The hourly view, 7-day forecast, luck factor and packing notes come from the same stored update.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast with the version-matched historical observations available for the same time of year at Santa Cruz. The delta shows whether conditions look better, worse or about the same as a typical mid-October.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Partly. The model uses stored spot geometry, swell ranges and tide preferences where configured. It cannot see changing banks, crowds, access, closures or everything visible on a local cam, so treat it as a starting point.

When is the best time for Surf at Santa Cruz?

The best week for surf at Santa Cruz is the week of 30 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.