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Live conditions

Rincon

United States ยท North America

Updated 45 min ago
โ˜๏ธ
Type:point
Shelter:semi_exposed
Difficulty:intermediate
Tide:mid
Facing:S

Forecast accuracy at Rincon

Not enough data yet. Log a session to help build the accuracy score.

Best time to go

No great windows in the next 2 days

Best available option is Tomorrow around 2pm (score: 10). Conditions are below the Good threshold but may still be surfable.

Crowd report

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Session journal

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Recent form

Last 19 days of logged conditions.

30-day average
3.2/10
Days firing
1
Score 6 or higher
Best day recently
6.7/10
18 May
Days logged
19
Planning tool

Best time to visit Rincon

Combining historical conditions with school holiday crowd pressure to find the sweet spot.

Key insights

  • The best week for surf at Rincon is the week of 1 June (score 3/5) with low crowds.
  • Avoid the week of 13 July if you can due to Summer break and Winter break.

Best time to visit

2026
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5: Sweet spot
4: Great time
3: Average
2: Below average
1: Avoid

Crowd calendar

How busy each week is based on school holiday overlap from feeder markets.

18 May
Quiet
25 May
Quiet
1 Jun
Very quiet
8 Jun
Very busy
15 Jun
Very busy
22 Jun
Very busy
29 Jun
Very busy
6 Jul
Very busy
13 Jul
Very busy
20 Jul
Very busy
27 Jul
Very busy
3 Aug
Very busy
10 Aug
Very busy
17 Aug
Very busy
24 Aug
Very busy
31 Aug
Quiet
7 Sept
Very quiet
14 Sept
Quiet
21 Sept
Quiet
28 Sept
Quiet
5 Oct
Quiet
12 Oct
Quiet
19 Oct
Quiet
26 Oct
Quiet
2 Nov
Quiet
9 Nov
Very quiet
16 Nov
Very quiet
23 Nov
Very busy
30 Nov
Very quiet
7 Dec
Quiet
14 Dec
Very busy
21 Dec
Very busy
28 Dec
Very busy
Very quiet
Quiet
Moderate
Busy
Very busy

School holidays affecting this destination

Summer holidays(Australia)
13 Dec - 26 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
18 Dec - 27 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
19 Dec - 28 Jan
Vacaciones de Navidad(Mexico)
19 Dec - 5 Jan
Ferias de Natal(Brazil)
20 Dec - 31 Jan
Vacances de Noel(France)
20 Dec - 5 Jan
Vacances d'hiver(France)
7-22 February
Presidents' Day weekend(United States)
14-16 February
Carnaval(Brazil)
14-18 February
Family Day / reading week(Canada)
14-22 February
February half-term(United Kingdom)
14-22 February
Vacances d'hiver(France)
14 Feb - 1 Mar
Vacances d'hiver(France)
21 Feb - 8 Mar
Spring break(United States)
14-22 March
March break(Canada)
14-22 March
Haru yasumi(Japan)
25 Mar - 6 Apr
Autumn break(Australia)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Semana Santa(Mexico)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Easter holidays(United Kingdom)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Autumn break(Australia)
4-19 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
4-19 April
Autumn break(Australia)
11-26 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
11-26 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
18 Apr - 3 May
Golden Week(Japan)
29 Apr - 5 May
May half-term(United Kingdom)
23-31 May
Summer break(United States)
10 Jun - 25 Aug
Winter break(Australia)
27 Jun - 12 Jul
Summer holidays(Canada)
27 Jun - 1 Sept
Ferias de julho(Brazil)
1-31 July
Winter break(Australia)
4-19 July
Vacances d'ete(France)
4 Jul - 1 Sept
Vacaciones de verano(Mexico)
6 Jul - 17 Aug
Summer holidays(United Kingdom)
18 Jul - 1 Sept
Natsu yasumi(Japan)
21 Jul - 31 Aug
Obon(Japan)
13-16 August
Spring break(Australia)
19 Sept - 4 Oct
Spring break(Australia)
26 Sept - 11 Oct
Spring break(Australia)
3-18 October
Thanksgiving weekend(Canada)
10-12 October
Vacances de la Toussaint(France)
17 Oct - 2 Nov
October half-term(United Kingdom)
24 Oct - 1 Nov
Thanksgiving break(United States)
25-29 November
Summer holidays(Australia)
12 Dec - 25 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
18 Dec - 27 Jan
Christmas break(United States)
19 Dec - 3 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
19 Dec - 28 Jan
Christmas break(Canada)
19 Dec - 3 Jan
Christmas holidays(United Kingdom)
19 Dec - 3 Jan
Fuyu yasumi(Japan)
28 Dec - 3 Jan
How are these scores calculated?

The timing score combines two signals: historical conditions quality (how good the skiing or surfing typically is in a given week, based on 5 years of weather data) and crowd pressure (how many of this destination's feeder markets have school holidays that week).

Crowd pressure is weighted by each feeder country's share of visitors. If 40% of a resort's visitors come from France and France is on holiday, that contributes 0.40 to the crowd pressure score. Crowds can reduce the timing score by up to 35%, ensuring conditions still matter most.

Scores: 5 = great conditions with low crowds (the sweet spot). 4 = great conditions with moderate crowds, or good conditions with low crowds. 3 = average. 2 = below average conditions or very crowded. 1 = poor conditions or peak holiday chaos.

Spot guide

This guide was generated from conditions data. Know this spot? Submit your own tips below.

## The spot Rincon, the Queen of the Coast, is a world-class right-hand point break straddling the Santa Barbara-Ventura county line. When winter swells march down the California coast, this cobblestone point produces flawless, peeling walls that have inspired generations of surfers. The wave has three distinct sections: Indicator on the outside, The Rivermouth in the middle, and The Cove on the inside, each offering different characteristics. On a connecting day, the ride from Indicator through to The Cove is one of the longest in California. ## When it works Rincon is strictly a winter wave, needing west to north-west groundswells to activate properly. The season runs from November through March, with January and February typically delivering the most consistent swells. The ideal setup is a 6-10ft north-west swell with a light north-east or east wind. The point needs size to connect; under 4ft only The Cove works. Early morning glass-off sessions before the wind picks up around 10am are the gold standard. ## Where to sit The Cove is the inside section and handles the most crowd, but it also offers the most accessible waves with a defined peak and shorter rides. The Rivermouth section in the middle is less crowded and produces longer walls. Indicator on the outside only breaks on bigger days but offers the longest potential rides when it connects through. Position yourself on the point and let the wave come to you rather than chasing the peak. ## Hazards The cobblestone bottom is uneven and slippery, making entry and exit tricky. Kelp beds wrap around the point and can tangle leashes. On bigger swells, a strong current sweeps down the point and can push you past The Cove into the rocks at the south end. After heavy rain, the river outflow carries pollutants and bacteria that make the water hazardous. Check water quality reports before paddling out during the rainy season. ## Parking and access A small car park sits directly above The Cove with limited spaces that fill by dawn on good days. Additional street parking lines Bates Road above Indicator. The walk from the upper lot to the water takes two minutes via concrete stairs. Parking enforcement is strict and tickets are expensive. Arrive before sunrise on forecast days. ## The crowd Rincon draws surfers from Santa Barbara, Ventura, and Los Angeles on good swells. The line-up at The Cove can hold 80-plus surfers on a classic day, making it one of the most congested waves in California. The Rivermouth and Indicator sections are progressively less crowded but require bigger swell and more paddle fitness. The local crew is experienced and expects newcomers to wait their turn. ## Local tips The wave quality improves dramatically as the swell builds above 5ft, when the sections begin to connect. On smaller days, The Cove is the only game and the crowd-to-wave ratio is miserable. A mid-length or longboard opens up the mushier sections between the primary peaks. The kelp dampens wind chop noticeably, so moderate onshore days can still be fun if you position yourself inside the kelp line. Water hovers around 13-15C in winter, so a 4/3mm wetsuit with boots is standard.

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Current conditions refresh every 3 hours when the cron runs. Hourly data updates every 30 minutes. The 7-day forecast, luck factor, and packing notes are all pre-computed at the same time.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Rincon. The delta tells you whether conditions are shaping up better, worse, or about the same as a typical late May.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Honestly, no. Every break has tide windows, swell directions and reef contours that a global model cannot see. Treat the score as a starting point, then check a local cam.

When is the best time to surf Rincon?

The best week for surf at Rincon is the week of 1 June (score 3/5) with low crowds.