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Long right-breaking waves wrapping around Rincon's cobblestone point
Conditions forecast

Rincon, Carpinteria

United States · Part of Santa Barbara and Ventura

Updated recently

As of 11:12 GMT-7 on 15 October 2026, Rincon, Carpinteria scores 52/100 (Good) for surf on PeakWave.

Wind
Surf · Today’s score · Good
52/100

Wave energy: limiting. Wave alignment: ideal.

No sea temperature here today, so the cold-water check is left out.

Swell
0.6 m
13 s · W
Wind
17 km/h
Cross-shore
Tide
Falling
Modelled timing
Water
Unavailable

Don't bother today: 52.

Better nearby

Nothing else in Santa Barbara and Ventura beats Rincon, Carpinteria by a clear margin today.

See every Santa Barbara and Ventura surf spot today
⚠ Rocks exposed at low tide
  • Some safety checks are unavailable. Check local advice before setting out.
Main limiter
Wave energy
Strongest positive
Wave alignment

PeakWave scores are planning signals, not safety clearance. Check local authorities, official bulletins and on-site conditions before you go. Read our editorial policy.

What matters for this session

Read the swell size, period and direction together with the wind at the beach. The tide chart below adds timing context for this break.

Today's forecast

Local time 1:45pm

Session recommendations are unavailable while safety or forecast evidence is incomplete or a red flag is active.

12am
☀️
Dark
1am
☀️
Dark
2am
☀️
Dark
3am
☀️
Dark
4am
☀️
Dark
5am
☀️
Dark
6am
☀️
Dark
7am
☀️
Dark
8am
☀️
45
Fair
0.5m · 11s
↓ 4 km/h
Water unavailable
9am
☀️
58
Good
0.5m · 11s
↓ 6 km/h
Water unavailable
10am
☀️
57
Good
0.5m · 11s
↘ 4 km/h
Water unavailable
11am
☀️
52
Good
0.5m · 11s
↘ 10 km/h
Water unavailable
12pm
☀️
50
Good
0.5m · 11s
↘ 15 km/h
Water unavailable
1pm
☀️
48
Fair
0.5m · 11s
→ 14 km/h
Water unavailable
2pm
☀️
46
Fair
0.5m · 11s
→ 11 km/h
Water unavailable
3pm
☀️
43
Fair
0.5m · 11s
→ 17 km/h
Water unavailable
4pm
☀️
40
Fair
0.4m · 11s
→ 16 km/h
Water unavailable
5pm
☀️
37
Fair
0.4m · 11s
↘ 14 km/h
Water unavailable
6pm
☀️
46
Fair
0.4m · 11s
→ 5 km/h
Water unavailable
7pm
☀️
Dark
8pm
☀️
Dark
9pm
☀️
Dark
10pm
☀️
Dark
11pm
☀️
Dark

Tide

Modelled tide

Heights relative to mean sea level

Best on mid tide

5am8pm
High 12:02+0.7 m
8:00amsunrise7:00pmsunset

Next 7 days

Forecast via Open-Meteo
Today
15 Oct
☀️
52/100
0.5 m swell · 12 s
Wind 17 km/h
empty
Midweek
Best conditions
Tomorrow
16 Oct
☀️
21/100
0.5 m swell · 11 s
Wind 41 km/h
empty
Friday
Red safety flag
Sat
17 Oct
☀️
32/100
0.4 m swell · 9 s
Wind 27 km/h
quiet
Saturday
Sun
18 Oct
☀️
46/100
0.8 m swell · 9 s
Wind 11 km/h
quiet
Sunday
Mon
19 Oct
☀️
51/100
1.0 m swell · 7 s
Wind 11 km/h
empty
Midweek
Tue
20 Oct
🌦️
49/100
0.7 m swell · 7 s
Wind 12 km/h
empty
Midweek
Wed
21 Oct
🌦️
47/100
0.6 m swell · 10 s
Wind 13 km/h
empty
Midweek

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Each location is refreshed every three hours. The hourly view, 7-day forecast, luck factor and packing notes come from the same stored update.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast with the version-matched historical observations available for the same time of year at Rincon. The delta shows whether conditions look better, worse or about the same as a typical mid-October.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Partly. The model uses stored spot geometry, swell ranges and tide preferences where configured. It cannot see changing banks, crowds, access, closures or everything visible on a local cam, so treat it as a starting point.

When is the best time for Surf at Rincon?

The best week for surf at Rincon is the week of 30 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.