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Cape Woolamai surf beneath Phillip Island's pink-granite Pinnacles
Conditions forecast

Phillip Island, Cowes

Australia · Part of Melbourne and Surf Coast

Updated recently

As of 14:00 GMT+11 on 12 October 2026, Phillip Island, Cowes scores 44/100 (Fair) for surf on PeakWave.

Wind
Surf · Today’s score · Fair
44/100

Wave alignment: limiting. Wind-wave chop: ideal.

Swell
2.5 m
11 s · SW
Wind
36 km/h
Cross-onshore
Tide
Falling
Modelled timing
Water
13.5 °C

Don't bother today: 44.

Better nearby

Nothing else in Melbourne and Surf Coast beats Phillip Island, Cowes by a clear margin today.

See every Melbourne and Surf Coast surf spot today
⚠ Rip risk elevated
  • Solid swell: Solid swell: limiting. Shown separately from the conditions score.
  • Strong wind: Strong wind: limiting. Shown separately from the conditions score.
  • Cold-shock risk
Main limiter
Wave alignment
Strongest positive
Wind-wave chop

PeakWave scores are planning signals, not safety clearance. Check local authorities, official bulletins and on-site conditions before you go. Read our editorial policy.

What matters for this session

Read the swell size, period and direction together with the wind at the beach. The tide chart below adds timing context for this break.

Today's forecast

Local time 3:11pm

Session recommendations are unavailable while safety or forecast evidence is incomplete or a red flag is active.

12am
☁️
Dark
1am
☁️
Dark
2am
☁️
Dark
3am
☁️
Dark
4am
🌧️
Dark
5am
🌦️
Dark
6am
🌧️
Dark
7am
🌧️
58
Good
2.3m · 11s
↘ 8 km/h
13.5°C water
8am
🌧️
47
Fair
2.3m · 11s
↘ 16 km/h
13.5°C water
9am
🌧️
39
Fair
2.2m · 11s
→ 21 km/h
13.5°C water
10am
☁️
31
Poor
2.2m · 11s
↗ 25 km/h
13.5°C water
11am
🌧️
26
Poor
2.1m · 11s
↗ 31 km/h
13.5°C water
12pm
☁️
22
Poor
2.0m · 11s
↗ 33 km/h
13.5°C water
1pm
☁️
19
Flat
1.9m · 11s
↗ 36 km/h
13.5°C water
2pm
🌧️
16
Flat
1.8m · 12s
↗ 35 km/h
13.5°C water
3pm
☁️
16
Flat
1.8m · 11s
↗ 36 km/h
13.5°C water
4pm
☁️
16
Flat
1.8m · 11s
↗ 36 km/h
13.5°C water
5pm
☀️
17
Flat
1.9m · 11s
↗ 31 km/h
13.5°C water
6pm
🌤️
20
Poor
1.8m · 11s
↗ 27 km/h
13.5°C water
7pm
🌤️
23
Poor
1.8m · 11s
↗ 26 km/h
13.5°C water
8pm
☀️
Dark
9pm
🌤️
Dark
10pm
☀️
Dark
11pm
🌤️
Dark

Tide

Modelled tide

Heights relative to mean sea level

5am8pm
High 14:29+0.8 m
Low 08:37-0.7 m
7:00amsunrise8:00pmsunset

Next 7 days

Forecast via Open-Meteo
Today
12 Oct
🌦️
44/100
2.5 m swell · 11 s
Wind 36 km/h
empty
Midweek
Caution
Best conditions
Tomorrow
13 Oct
🌧️
24/100
3.1 m swell · 10 s
Wind 32 km/h
empty
Midweek
Red safety flag
Wed
14 Oct
🌧️
34/100
2.8 m swell · 10 s
Wind 23 km/h
empty
Midweek
Caution
Thu
15 Oct
☁️
39/100
1.6 m swell · 9 s
Wind 27 km/h
empty
Midweek
Fri
16 Oct
☁️
35/100
1.0 m swell · 9 s
Wind 24 km/h
empty
Friday
Sat
17 Oct
🌧️
34/100
0.7 m swell · 9 s
Wind 25 km/h
quiet
Saturday
Sun
18 Oct
☀️
26/100
0.7 m swell · 12 s
Wind 24 km/h
quiet
Sunday

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Each location is refreshed every three hours. The hourly view, 7-day forecast, luck factor and packing notes come from the same stored update.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast with the version-matched historical observations available for the same time of year at Phillip Island. The delta shows whether conditions look better, worse or about the same as a typical mid-October.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Partly. The model uses stored spot geometry, swell ranges and tide preferences where configured. It cannot see changing banks, crowds, access, closures or everything visible on a local cam, so treat it as a starting point.

When is the best time for Surf at Phillip Island?

The best week for surf at Phillip Island is the week of 2 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.