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Atlantic swell beneath the Fort of São Miguel Arcanjo and its red lighthouse in Nazaré
Conditions forecast

Nazaré

Portugal · Part of Peniche and Nazaré

Updated recently

As of 16:12 WEST on 12 October 2026, Nazaré scores 36/100 (Fair) for surf on PeakWave.

Wind
Surf · Today’s score · Fair
36/100

Wave energy: limiting. Wind-wave chop: ideal.

Swell
2.0 m
9 s · NW
Wind
13 km/h
Onshore
Tide
High
Approximate timing
Water
18.1 °C
⚠ Rip risk elevated
  • Jellyfish: High
  • Powerful, advanced conditions
  • Some safety checks are unavailable. Check local advice before setting out.
Main limiter
Wave energy
Strongest positive
Wind-wave chop

PeakWave scores are planning signals, not safety clearance. Check local authorities, official bulletins and on-site conditions before you go. Read our editorial policy.

What matters for this session

Read the swell size, period and direction together with the wind at the beach. The tide chart below adds timing context for this break.

Today's forecast

Local time 4:26pm

Session recommendations are unavailable while safety or forecast evidence is incomplete or a red flag is active.

12am
☁️
Dark
1am
☁️
Dark
2am
🌤️
Dark
3am
🌤️
Dark
4am
🌤️
Dark
5am
☁️
Dark
6am
☁️
Dark
7am
☁️
Dark
8am
☁️
38
Fair
1.6m · 9s
↙ 3 km/h
18.1°C water
9am
☁️
39
Fair
1.7m · 9s
↙ 4 km/h
18.1°C water
10am
☁️
33
Poor
1.8m · 9s
↓ 7 km/h
18.1°C water
11am
☁️
33
Poor
1.9m · 9s
↓ 9 km/h
18.1°C water
12pm
🌤️
32
Poor
1.9m · 9s
↓ 10 km/h
18.1°C water
1pm
🌤️
32
Poor
2.0m · 9s
↘ 11 km/h
18.1°C water
2pm
🌤️
31
Poor
2.0m · 9s
↘ 12 km/h
18.1°C water
3pm
🌤️
31
Poor
2.0m · 9s
↘ 13 km/h
18.1°C water
4pm
🌤️
31
Poor
2.0m · 9s
↘ 12 km/h
18.1°C water
5pm
🌤️
31
Poor
2.0m · 9s
↘ 12 km/h
18.1°C water
6pm
🌤️
31
Poor
1.9m · 9s
↘ 10 km/h
18.1°C water
7pm
🌤️
32
Poor
1.9m · 8s
↓ 7 km/h
18.1°C water
8pm
🌤️
Dark
9pm
🌤️
Dark
10pm
🌤️
Dark
11pm
🌤️
Dark

Tide

Approximate model

Heights relative to mean sea level

5am8pm
High 16:10+1.3 m
Low 10:03-1.4 m
8:00amsunrise8:00pmsunset

Next 7 days

Forecast via Open-Meteo
Today
12 Oct
☁️
36/100
2.0 m swell · 9 s
Wind 13 km/h
empty
Midweek
Tomorrow
13 Oct
🌤️
28/100
1.8 m swell · 8 s
Wind 18 km/h
empty
Midweek
Wed
14 Oct
🌫️
31/100
1.9 m swell · 10 s
Wind 8 km/h
empty
Midweek
Thu
15 Oct
🌫️
46/100
2.1 m swell · 10 s
Wind 10 km/h
quiet
Public holiday
Caution
Best conditions
Fri
16 Oct
☁️
37/100
1.9 m swell · 10 s
Wind 20 km/h
quiet
Public holiday
Sat
17 Oct
☁️
42/100
2.4 m swell · 8 s
Wind 12 km/h
quiet
Saturday
Caution
Sun
18 Oct
☁️
29/100
2.6 m swell · 8 s
Wind 24 km/h
quiet
Sunday
Caution

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Each location is refreshed every three hours. The hourly view, 7-day forecast, luck factor and packing notes come from the same stored update.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast with the version-matched historical observations available for the same time of year at Nazaré. The delta shows whether conditions look better, worse or about the same as a typical mid-October.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Partly. The model uses stored spot geometry, swell ranges and tide preferences where configured. It cannot see changing banks, crowds, access, closures or everything visible on a local cam, so treat it as a starting point.

When is the best time for Surf at Nazaré?

The best week for surf at Nazaré is the week of 16 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.