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Manorbier surf beneath the Norman castle and whitewashed church tower
Conditions forecast

Manorbier, Tenby

United Kingdom · Part of Pembrokeshire

Updated recently

As of 18:12 GMT on 1 November 2026, Manorbier, Tenby scores 27/100 (Poor) for surf on PeakWave.

Wind
Surf · Today’s score · Poor
27/100

Wave energy: limiting. Wind-wave chop: ideal.

Swell
0.9 m
10 s · W
Wind
18 km/h
Offshore
Tide
Rising
Modelled timing
Water
11.2 °C
⚠ Cold-shock risk
  • Storm forecast unavailable
  • Some safety checks are unavailable. Check local advice before setting out.
Main limiter
Wave energy
Strongest positive
Wind-wave chop

PeakWave scores are planning signals, not safety clearance. Check local authorities, official bulletins and on-site conditions before you go. Read our editorial policy.

What matters for this session

Read the swell size, period and direction together with the wind at the beach. The tide chart below adds timing context for this break.

Today's forecast

Local time 6:36pm

Session recommendations are unavailable while safety or forecast evidence is incomplete or a red flag is active.

12am
☀️
Dark
1am
🌤️
Dark
2am
🌤️
Dark
3am
🌤️
Dark
4am
🌫️
Dark
5am
☁️
Dark
6am
☁️
Dark
7am
☁️
Dark
8am
☁️
29
Poor
0.7m · 9s
↓ 8 km/h
11.2°C water
9am
☁️
25
Poor
0.7m · 9s
↙ 9 km/h
11.2°C water
10am
☁️
28
Poor
0.7m · 9s
↙ 7 km/h
11.2°C water
11am
☁️
27
Poor
0.7m · 8s
↙ 8 km/h
11.2°C water
12pm
☁️
25
Poor
0.7m · 8s
↙ 10 km/h
11.2°C water
1pm
☁️
24
Poor
0.7m · 8s
↓ 13 km/h
11.2°C water
2pm
☁️
23
Poor
0.6m · 8s
↓ 16 km/h
11.2°C water
3pm
🌤️
21
Poor
0.6m · 8s
↓ 18 km/h
11.2°C water
4pm
🌤️
21
Poor
0.6m · 8s
↓ 14 km/h
11.2°C water
5pm
🌤️
Dark
6pm
🌤️
Dark
7pm
🌤️
Dark
8pm
🌤️
Dark
9pm
🌤️
Dark
10pm
🌤️
Dark
11pm
☀️
Dark

Tide

Modelled tide

Heights relative to mean sea level

5am8pm
High 10:20+2.2 m
Low 16:43-2.1 m
8:00amsunrise5:00pmsunset

Next 7 days

Forecast via Open-Meteo
Today
1 Nov
🌫️
27/100
0.9 m swell · 10 s
Wind 18 km/h
quiet
Sunday
Best conditions
Tomorrow
2 Nov
☁️
10/100
0.5 m swell · 9 s
Wind 16 km/h
empty
Midweek
Tue
3 Nov
🌤️
6/100
0.3 m swell · 12 s
Wind 25 km/h
empty
Midweek
Wed
4 Nov
☁️
14/100
0.8 m swell · 5 s
Wind 31 km/h
empty
Midweek
Caution
Thu
5 Nov
☁️
10/100
0.7 m swell · 5 s
Wind 30 km/h
empty
Midweek
Caution
Fri
6 Nov
☁️
6/100
0.5 m swell · 4 s
Wind 26 km/h
empty
Friday
Sat
7 Nov
🌧️
0/100
0.3 m swell · 3 s
Wind 22 km/h
quiet
Saturday

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Each location is refreshed every three hours. The hourly view, 7-day forecast, luck factor and packing notes come from the same stored update.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast with the version-matched historical observations available for the same time of year at Manorbier. The delta shows whether conditions look better, worse or about the same as a typical late October.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Partly. The model uses stored spot geometry, swell ranges and tide preferences where configured. It cannot see changing banks, crowds, access, closures or everything visible on a local cam, so treat it as a starting point.

When is the best time for Surf at Manorbier?

The best week for surf at Manorbier is the week of 23 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.