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Home/Surf Conditions/ Jeffreys Bay
Live conditions

Jeffreys Bay

South Africa ยท Southern Africa

Updated 53 min ago
๐ŸŒง๏ธ
Type:point
Shelter:exposed
Difficulty:advanced
Tide:mid
Facing:SE

Forecast accuracy at Jeffreys Bay

Not enough data yet. Log a session to help build the accuracy score.

Best time to go

No great windows in the next 2 days

Best available option is Today around 7am (score: 14). Conditions are below the Good threshold but may still be surfable.

Crowd report

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Session journal

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Recent form

Last 20 days of logged conditions.

30-day average
3.1/10
Days firing
3
Score 6 or higher
Best day recently
6.3/10
6 May
Days logged
20

Historical averages

Best month to visit: August

50%+ offshore20-49% offshoreBelow 20%
Planning tool

Best time to visit Jeffreys Bay

Combining historical conditions with school holiday crowd pressure to find the sweet spot.

Key insights

  • The best week for surf at Jeffreys Bay is the week of 9 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.
  • Avoid the week of 13 July if you can due to Winter break and Summer holidays.

Best time to visit

2026
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
5: Sweet spot
4: Great time
3: Average
2: Below average
1: Avoid

Crowd calendar

How busy each week is based on school holiday overlap from feeder markets.

18 May
Quiet
25 May
Quiet
1 Jun
Quiet
8 Jun
Quiet
15 Jun
Quiet
22 Jun
Busy
29 Jun
Very busy
6 Jul
Very busy
13 Jul
Very busy
20 Jul
Moderate
27 Jul
Moderate
3 Aug
Moderate
10 Aug
Moderate
17 Aug
Moderate
24 Aug
Moderate
31 Aug
Quiet
7 Sept
Quiet
14 Sept
Quiet
21 Sept
Busy
28 Sept
Busy
5 Oct
Busy
12 Oct
Quiet
19 Oct
Quiet
26 Oct
Quiet
2 Nov
Quiet
9 Nov
Very quiet
16 Nov
Very quiet
23 Nov
Quiet
30 Nov
Very quiet
7 Dec
Quiet
14 Dec
Moderate
21 Dec
Moderate
28 Dec
Moderate
Very quiet
Quiet
Moderate
Busy
Very busy

School holidays affecting this destination

Christmas holidays(South Africa)
10 Dec - 14 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
13 Dec - 26 Jan
Summer holidays(New Zealand)
17 Dec - 2 Feb
Summer holidays(Australia)
18 Dec - 27 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
19 Dec - 28 Jan
Ferias de Natal(Brazil)
20 Dec - 31 Jan
Vacances de Noel(France)
20 Dec - 5 Jan
Weihnachtsferien(Germany)
22 Dec - 5 Jan
Vacances d'hiver(France)
7-22 February
February half-term(United Kingdom)
14-22 February
Presidents' Day weekend(United States)
14-16 February
Carnaval(Brazil)
14-18 February
Vacances d'hiver(France)
14 Feb - 1 Mar
Winterferien(Germany)
14-22 February
Faschingsferien(Germany)
14-21 February
Voorjaarsvakantie(Netherlands)
14-22 February
Vacances d'hiver(France)
21 Feb - 8 Mar
Voorjaarsvakantie(Netherlands)
21 Feb - 1 Mar
Voorjaarsvakantie(Netherlands)
28 Feb - 8 Mar
Spring break(United States)
14-22 March
Autumn break(South Africa)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Autumn break(Australia)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Easter holidays(United Kingdom)
28 Mar - 12 Apr
Osterferien(Germany)
28 Mar - 11 Apr
Autumn break(Australia)
4-19 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
4-19 April
Autumn break(New Zealand)
4-19 April
Autumn break(Australia)
11-26 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
11-26 April
Vacances de printemps(France)
18 Apr - 3 May
Meivakantie(Netherlands)
25 Apr - 3 May
May half-term(United Kingdom)
23-31 May
Pfingstferien(Germany)
23 May - 6 Jun
Summer break(United States)
10 Jun - 25 Aug
Winter break(South Africa)
27 Jun - 19 Jul
Winter break(Australia)
27 Jun - 12 Jul
Sommerferien(Germany)
29 Jun - 11 Aug
Ferias de julho(Brazil)
1-31 July
Winter break(Australia)
4-19 July
Vacances d'ete(France)
4 Jul - 1 Sept
Zomervakantie(Netherlands)
4 Jul - 16 Aug
Winter break(New Zealand)
4-19 July
Zomervakantie(Netherlands)
11 Jul - 23 Aug
Summer holidays(United Kingdom)
18 Jul - 1 Sept
Zomervakantie(Netherlands)
18 Jul - 30 Aug
Sommerferien(Germany)
30 Jul - 14 Sept
Spring break(Australia)
19 Sept - 4 Oct
Spring break(South Africa)
26 Sept - 11 Oct
Spring break(Australia)
26 Sept - 11 Oct
Spring break(New Zealand)
26 Sept - 11 Oct
Spring break(Australia)
3-18 October
Herbstferien(Germany)
12-24 October
Vacances de la Toussaint(France)
17 Oct - 2 Nov
Herfstvakantie(Netherlands)
17-25 October
October half-term(United Kingdom)
24 Oct - 1 Nov
Herbstferien(Germany)
26-30 October
Herbstferien(Germany)
31 Oct - 6 Nov
Thanksgiving break(United States)
25-29 November
Summer holidays(Australia)
12 Dec - 25 Jan
Summer holidays(New Zealand)
17 Dec - 1 Feb
Summer holidays(Australia)
18 Dec - 27 Jan
Summer holidays(Australia)
19 Dec - 28 Jan
Christmas holidays(United Kingdom)
19 Dec - 3 Jan
Christmas break(United States)
19 Dec - 3 Jan
How are these scores calculated?

The timing score combines two signals: historical conditions quality (how good the skiing or surfing typically is in a given week, based on 5 years of weather data) and crowd pressure (how many of this destination's feeder markets have school holidays that week).

Crowd pressure is weighted by each feeder country's share of visitors. If 40% of a resort's visitors come from France and France is on holiday, that contributes 0.40 to the crowd pressure score. Crowds can reduce the timing score by up to 35%, ensuring conditions still matter most.

Scores: 5 = great conditions with low crowds (the sweet spot). 4 = great conditions with moderate crowds, or good conditions with low crowds. 3 = average. 2 = below average conditions or very crowded. 1 = poor conditions or peak holiday chaos.

Spot guide

This guide was generated from conditions data. Know this spot? Submit your own tips below.

## The spot Jeffreys Bay, specifically the Supertubes section, is one of the fastest, most mechanical right-hand point breaks on the planet. The wave breaks over a long basalt and limestone rock shelf, producing high-speed barrels that connect through multiple sections when the swell is right. The speed at which the wave travels down the point is extraordinary, demanding elite fitness and technical ability. J-Bay is a regular fixture on the professional tour and a bucket-list wave for every serious surfer. ## When it works South-westerly groundswells from the Roaring Forties arrive from April through September (South African winter). The wave needs at least 4-6ft of swell to properly connect through the sections. The ideal setup is 6-10ft of south-west swell with a westerly or north-westerly offshore wind. The wave has multiple sections (Boneyards, Supertubes, Impossibles, Tubes, The Point, Albatross) that activate at different sizes. ## Where to sit Supertubes is the primary section, with a defined take-off zone where the swell hits the shallowest portion of the reef shelf. The right peels at high speed for 200-300 metres, with barrel sections forming throughout. On connecting days, you can ride from Boneyards through Supertubes to Impossibles (600+ metres). Position at the top of the Supertubes section and commit to the speed immediately. ## Hazards The rock shelf is sharp and exposed at lower tides. The wave's speed means getting caught behind a section drives you across uneven reef. Strong currents sweep down the point on bigger days. Great white sharks are present in the area and encounters have occurred. The water is cold (14-18C). The wave's speed leaves zero margin for positioning errors. ## Parking and access Parking at the Supertubes car park directly above the break. A short walk down the dunes reaches the beach. The paddle-out is alongside the rocks. Facilities include toilets and a small shop. The town of Jeffreys Bay has full services and accommodation. ## The crowd J-Bay is South Africa's most popular surf destination and Supertubes attracts experienced surfers from across the country and the world. Expect 20-40 surfers on good days. The competitive standard is very high. The wave naturally thins the crowd as only confident surfers can handle the speed and commitment required. Dawn patrol offers the best window. ## Local tips The wave is faster than you expect. Your first few rides will end with you getting outrun by the section. Bring a board with speed: slightly longer and narrower than standard, with extra rocker for the late drops. Position yourself further up the point than you think necessary; the current will sweep you down rapidly. A 4/3mm wetsuit with boots covers winter conditions. Watch from the car park for a full set cycle to understand the speed and the connecting sections before paddling out.

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Frequently asked questions

How often is this page updated?

Current conditions refresh every 3 hours when the cron runs. Hourly data updates every 30 minutes. The 7-day forecast, luck factor, and packing notes are all pre-computed at the same time.

What is the luck factor?

We compare the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Jeffreys Bay. The delta tells you whether conditions are shaping up better, worse, or about the same as a typical late May.

How is 'best session' picked?

We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.

Where does the data come from?

Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).

Does the score capture local knowledge?

Honestly, no. Every break has tide windows, swell directions and reef contours that a global model cannot see. Treat the score as a starting point, then check a local cam.

When is the best time to surf Jeffreys Bay?

The best week for surf at Jeffreys Bay is the week of 9 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.