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Create Profile →Current conditions refresh every 3 hours when the cron runs. Hourly data updates every 30 minutes. The 7-day forecast, luck factor, and packing notes are all pre-computed at the same time.
We compare the 7-day forecast to the last 5 years of marine data for the same week at Bull Bay. The delta tells you whether conditions are shaping up better, worse, or about the same as a typical early July.
We score each day of the 7-day forecast using the same algorithm as the leaderboard, and highlight the highest scorer.
Open-Meteo's Marine API (swell height, period, water temperature) and Weather API (wind and conditions).
Honestly, no. Every break has tide windows, swell directions and reef contours that a global model cannot see. Treat the score as a starting point, then check a local cam.
The best week for surf at Bull Bay is the week of 30 November (score 3/5) with low crowds.
Moderate swell providing fun waves for a session. Short-period wind swell: expect weak, crumbly faces. Moderate wind adding texture to the faces.
Heads up: thunderstorms forecast, and jellyfish: peak season.
Indicators derived from forecast data, not official warnings. Always check local lifeguard or official advice.
The air here is 38% cleaner than the average comparison city right now.
Somewhat cleaner than a typical city. Air quality is unlikely to affect most people.
Not a pollutant. Ozone is naturally higher at altitude and near the coast, and lower in cities where traffic exhaust breaks it down. High readings here typically indicate clean air. Can cause short-term airway irritation during intense exercise but is not linked to the long-term health risks of particulate pollution.
Additive health score: each pollutant contributes points relative to its WHO 2021 guideline and long-term health impact (PM2.5 9, NO₂ 5, O₃ 3, PM10 2, SO₂ 1 at WHO limits). Data via Open-Meteo. City markers show live readings. Red line marks the WHO guideline. Updated 21:00
Crystal clear water: ~33m visibility
This guide was generated from conditions data. Know this spot? Submit your own tips below.
Bull Bay, known as Copa among the Jamaican surf community, is a right-hand reef and point break on the south-eastern coast of Jamaica, nestled beneath the foothills of the Blue Mountains. The wave wraps around a cobblestone and coral rubble point, offering steep, peeling walls when Caribbean trade wind swells push in from the south-east. This is the heartland of Jamaican surf culture, home to the island's first organised surfing community and the annual Makka Pro competition.
The wave relies on south-easterly trade wind swells that run consistently from December through April. Hurricane season from August to November can also deliver exceptional groundswells from passing tropical systems. The wave needs 3-5ft of swell from the south-east to properly wrap around the point. A northerly offshore wind descending from the Blue Mountains provides ideal grooming, most reliable in the early mornings.
The take-off zone sits close to the rocky outcrop at the top of the point where the swell first refracts around the headland. The right peels for 50-80 metres along the cobblestone and reef bottom. Position yourself tight to the rocks and take off on the steeper section before it walls up down the line. The inside section over sand is mellower and works for less experienced surfers.
The coral rubble and cobblestone bottom is uneven and can cause injuries on shallow-water falls. Sea urchins inhabit the reef sections. Strong currents can develop alongside the point on bigger swells. The tropical sun is fierce and reflected off the water intensely. Be aware of fishing boats that regularly traverse the bay.
Informal parking is available on the roadside near the beach. The break is accessed directly from the pebbly beach with no difficult entry. The Jamaican Surf Club operates from the bay and provides local information and board rental. Basic facilities are available in the village.
Bull Bay's surf community is small but passionate. On a good day, expect 5-15 surfers, mostly locals. The atmosphere is warm, welcoming, and lively, with reggae often playing from the shore. Visiting surfers are treated hospitably, particularly those who show genuine respect for the local culture and community.
The morning offshore from the Blue Mountains provides a reliable two-hour window of clean conditions before the trade winds establish. Time your session for first light to maximise this window. Board shorts and a rash vest are all you need in the warm Caribbean water. Bring your own equipment as rental options are limited. The local surfers are excellent guides to the break and happy to share knowledge with respectful visitors. Jerk chicken from the roadside stalls makes for perfect post-surf fuel.
Surf at Bull Bay
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Daily scores over the last 12 months at Bull Bay
Based on historical weekly averages
Conditions at Bull Bay tend to be best between 06:00 to 09:00 in July.
Average score during this window: 50/100
See timing scores, school holiday busyness, and lift pass pricing to find the best time to book.
View Best Time to Go →Combining historical conditions with school holiday crowd pressure to find the sweet spot.
The timing score combines two signals: historical conditions quality (how good the skiing or surfing typically is in a given week, based on 5 years of weather data) and crowd pressure (how many of this destination's feeder markets have school holidays that week).
Crowd pressure is weighted by each feeder country's share of visitors. If 40% of a resort's visitors come from France and France is on holiday, that contributes 0.40 to the crowd pressure score. Crowds can reduce the timing score by up to 35%, ensuring conditions still matter most.
Scores: 5 = great conditions with low crowds (the sweet spot). 4 = great conditions with moderate crowds, or good conditions with low crowds. 3 = average. 2 = below average conditions or very crowded. 1 = poor conditions or peak holiday chaos.
Last 31 days of logged conditions.
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